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JaFaJ

US and Israel Convinced American Hostages Are Kept Under Shiffa Hospital in Gaza

1. JaFaJ has learned that both the United States (USG) and Israeli Governments (IG) are convinced that “Hamas is keeping more than a dozen hostages underneath the Shiffa hospital in Gaza.” JaFaJ has confirmed that, “most of those are dual nationals with passports from Israeli and other Western countries, including the United States.”
2. Al-Shiffa Hospital, better known as Al-Shiffa Medical Center, is the largest medical complex in Gaza. It is strategically located in Northern Gaza, in the Rimal Neighborhood, right in Gaza’s heart. The medical complex has been at the heart of international controversy during the war, especially as the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) make advances around it.
3. Israeli military sources have confirmed to JaFaJ that, “IDF tanks have been deployed around the complex since November 13th, 2023.”
4. An Israeli source reported to JaFaJ that, “Al-Shiffa hospital is a major riddle for the IDF. We know that some Hamas terrorists are inside, along with thousands of patients and civilians and potentially a dozen of hostages, but we don’t know how many.” The source added that, “Attacking the hospital will cost innocent lives, and that is the last thing the IDF wants.” The source concluded by saying whats worse is that Hamas might “kill the hostages, and we are dealing with a very delicate and complicated situation.”
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Uncle Sam to the Rescue
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5. American intelligence sources have confirmed with JaFaJ that the USG is convinced that “at least one American hostage is being held within the premises of Al-Shiffa hospital.” The source added that “Talks are ongoing in Qatar between the Central Intelligence Agency, the Mossad and Qatari mediators representing Hamas, to secure the safe release of all hostages.” The source continue by saying that, “The Israelis share our concern for the safety of hostages as well as the civilians in the Al-Shiffa hospital.”

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Israeli Forces Engaged in Battle Royal in West Gaza

1. JaFaJ military intelligence source have confirmed the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have been engaged in a fierce door to door battle with Hamas terrorists in Western Gaza. The fighting ensued with the Israelis entering Southern tip of the Beit Hanoun area which is located West to Gaza. The IDF began their incursion around daw time as the tanks rolled in followed by hundreds of the Israeli elite commando force. A very fierce battle has been raging since then as the Israeli armored vehicles have strategically retreated out of the kill zone. Our military forces confirm Hamas terrorists have been putting up an “epic resistance” sustaining heavy causality.

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Hamas Using 20 Hospital as Shields and Hostage Holding Centers

1.JaFaJ has learned from a senior Israeli military source that the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) has been able to identify twenty different hospitals in Gaza which Hamas has been using as shields with tunnel military units underneath and also as holding centers for more and estimated 250 Israeli hostages.
2. According to the Israeli source, Hamas has separated hostages into several categories: men of fighting age (mostly Israeli soldiers), and women and children. A third category consists of foreign and dual national Israelis who hold Western passport(s). The source reported that, “Hamas broke down all three categories into groups of less than ten individuals distributed them in the tunnels under twenty different hospitals.”
3. An American intelligence-connected source has reported to JaFaJ that the Israelis claims are true. “By placing hostages in tunnels under hospitals, Hamas secures itself twice, because the Israelis do not want to kill their own hostages, nor do they want to be called the ones who attack hospitals”.

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Hamas Makes Two Ceasefire Offers, Israel Refuses

1. Summary: Since the October 7, 2023 terror attack on Israel’s Southern villages and kibbutzim, the Palestinian terror group Hamas has been shaking under an unprecedented Israeli military campaign that is compounded by an angry population that is suffering the consequences of Hamas’s recklessness. JaFaJ has learned that Hamas, with hostages in hand, was expecting to have the upper hand over Israel, but Israel didn’t take the bait and budge. As a result, Hamas has proposed two ceasefires to the USA and Israel. Both were conveyed to United States Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and the Israeli leadership. The first was presented by Egypt’s President Sisi, while the second was brought forward by Jordan’s King Abdullah. Israel turned down both offers saying that they would not negotiate before the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages Hamas has kidnapped. Government sources in Israel have reported to JaFaJ that “Israel won’t stop until Hamas has been erased from the face of the earth”.
2. JaFaJ has learned that the terrorist group Hamas made two distinct ceasefire offers to both Israel and United States. Both offers were presented to US Secretary of State Blinken and forwarded to Israeli officials for comment.
3. Strained under heavy Israeli blows and growing public discontent, Hamas presented its first ceasefire offer October 16, 2023. The offer was presented to the Secretary Blinken by Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi during a recent visit to Cairo.
4. The Sisi-brokered offer stated that “Hamas would release all dual nationals held hostage, starting with the American Israeli ones, and once completed, an additional fifty Israeli hostages would be exchanged during an unrestricted ceasefire. During the ceasefire, Israel would restore both water and electricity to Gaza. JaFaJ has learned that Secretary Blinken was far from impressed with the offer, but shared it with the Israelis under “respectful pressure” from Sisi. The Israelis rejected this proposal, saying that they would never consider a ceasefire unless every hostage is accounted for, confirmed alive and immediately returned to their families with no preconditions.
5. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Jordan’s King, Abdullah, presented a second ceasefire offer on Hamas’s behalf to Secretary Blinken when they met in Amman on November 4, 2023. The offer included providing the Israelis with the list of all hostages, a number that Israel suspects is possibly higher than Hamas is willing to admit. [COMMENT: The Israeli authorities are faced with the fact there are still people unaccounted for from Hamas’s October 7th attack inside Israel’s southern territories. END COMMENT].
6. Abdullah’s offer included the following specifics: releasing “most” of the hostages except for a “handful of soldiers and young men.” Additionally, both sides would immediately halt to all military operations, and Israel would restore both water and power supply to Gaza. Additionally, there would be the establishment of “a negotiation mechanism for the release of the remaining hostages.” Israel was also required to include “the future release of all Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails.”
7. JaFaJ has confirmed that like the first proposal, both the Americans and Israelis have utterly rejected the King’s offer. A confidential source confirms that “Secretary Blinken told the King that the United States wants a guarantee for a permanent cessation of hostilities in Gaza.” The source added that, “they could not see how a permanent peace could (can) be established in Gaza with an internationally recognized terrorist organization like Hamas in control.”
8. The Israelis have flatly rejected both offers saying that “they won’t even bother to negotiate until all the hostages are accounted for, are confirmed safe and alive, and are safely released.” An Israeli government source close to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, confided to JaFaJ that “Israel won’t stop until we have erased Hamas from existence”.

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Tunisia Secretly Cooperating with Israel, Considering A Peace Agreement

1. Summary: Challenged at the domestic level as the public questions its legitimacy and protests their deteriorating economic conditions, the Government of Tunisia (GOT) has recently been warming up to Israel by expanding its intelligence sharing and cooperation with the Government of Israel (GOI). JaFaJ has confirmed that Israeli officials have already visited Tunisia to discuss further cooperation as their Tunisian counterparts promise a peace deal “at the right time.” Nonetheless, Tunisia is one of many Arab countries holding secret ties with Israel. The GOT may be just seeking leverage from the Israelis during these challenging times for Tunisia. Hence, the sudden GOT warmth towards Israel may not translate into a peace agreement, much less a functioning sustainable peace between both countries.
2. JaFaJ sources have learned that Tunisia’s Government has been expanding its intelligence sharing and cooperation with the Israeli Government. The cooperation includes working on issues of mutual interests, countering terror groups, the Mediterranean’s safety and observing radical Islamists operating in Tunisia’s neighbor, Libya.
3. The sources confirmed the recent cooperation with the Israelis has been commissioned by “The highest office in Tunisia and blessed by the country’s military commanders.” The source added that “Tunisia hopes to enhance its standing with the United States, and hopes that by cooperating with Israel, they will be able to strengthen their regional position, and hope Israel will help garner America’s support for Tunisia’s current Government, which is influenced by the army generals. [Reftel: https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/in-tunisia-a-soft-class-act-military-coup-is-cooking/]
4. JaFaJ sources in Tunisia have confirmed that high-ranking Israeli officials have secretly visited Tunisia and met with their Tunisian counterparts. The sources added that these meetings preceded lower-level meetings in Dubai, which were arranged by a wealthy Tunisian businessman who resides there. The sources then confirmed the Tunisian officials promised their Israeli guests “extensive cooperation on security related-matters and expressed their interest in a future peace deal with Israel in what they described as the right time”. An Israeli diplomatic source opined, “We are optimistic about future ties with Tunisia.” The source continued, “It’s not the only Arab nation we have secret ties with at the moment.” The source continued by saying, “Tunisia is a very strategic hub that rests on the Mediterranean Sea and borders Libya, a nation plagued by radicals and terrorists, this makes cooperation between us and Tunisia important.”
5. Note: The GOT has been going through challenging times. A squeezing economic crisis, rampant public dismay of GOT’s performance and unbridled disdain of the Tunisian President Qais Said. For a government whose local confidence is shrinking, and its legitimacy questioned, the GOT has not been able to find much Western support or a Western guarantor. Therefore, it is highly likely GOT is seeking peaceful ties with Israel to strengthen its weak standing on the regional and international scale. The Israelis are aware of this, but have been sustaining a decades-long policy of not turning away anyone who outreaches them in the region. Nonetheless, it would be too optimistic to assume the GOT’s sudden warmth towards Israel may bring a functioning peace agreement with Israel. And even if such an agreement were to come to be, it may be like the peace between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel, which UAE seems to use more for international leverage and public diplomacy rather than achieving real peace between both countries.

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Russia Will Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine, Says Saudi Arabia Rulers

1. Summary: JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) has warned the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom that Russian President Putin was now “very likely” to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine to achieve “a final victory.” JaFaJ sources in both nations are not ruling out the likelihood of MBS concerns materializing.
2. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) of Saudi Arabia is convinced that “Russia has decided to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine to end the war and deter further action from the United States and NATO countries.” According to JaFaJ sources, MBS has warned the United States that they are “underestimating the length Russia is willing to go to achieve victory in Ukraine” and warned them that “It is now a matter of when, not if, Putin will use a limited scale nuclear strike in Ukraine.” An American intelligence source confirmed the report with JaFaJ by saying that “It is true, the Saudis have recently warned the White House and Britain that Putin is a nudge away from using nukes against Ukraine.” He added, “According to the Saudis, Putin is not bluffing.”
3. A Washington, DC based American diplomatic source has confirmed that “The Department of State is very concerned about the escalation of Russia’s attacks on Ukraine.” The source continued, saying that “My opinion does not represent the Department of State, but I think Putin is a man who has too much pride to lose this war.” The source added that “regardless of cost, nobody can predict how far Putin will go to win in Ukraine.” The source continued by saying, “I will not personally rule out the threat of Putin using nuclear weapons in Ukraine if we keep pushing him to the battlefield instead of the negotiation table.”
4-Note: Saudia Arabia has been neutral concerning the war in Ukraine. MBS has been very aware of America’s diminishing power in the Middle East, and as such, MBS has been forging alliances with other forces, focusing on China. This position, and MBS remaining neutral towards Russia, is against what MBS’s Western allies have wanted. At the same time, MBS is convinced that Putin may use tactical nuclear weapons to win Ukraine war. MBS seems so sure, that he personally brought this news to the attention of the White House and President Biden. Therefore, it is a possibility that MBS has directly heard this from either the Russian or Chinese leadership.

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Is Israel’s F35 the Most Advanced in the World? Reasons Israel Is Buying More F35 Joint Strike Fighters

1. Summary: Israel has announced it will acquire 25 additional F35 joint strike fighters. Paraded as the ultimate sky-fighting machine, the highly computerized multirole fighter is over-engineered and requires complex maintenance, thanks to a rather embarrassing history of glitches. The Israelis seem to have overcome those to the point that they are eager to buy more F35s because their F16 Fighting Falcon fleet is ageing. The Israeli-modified F35 Adir is considered one of the most well-equipped F35 variants. The Israelis are sharing their developments and know-how knowledge of the F35 with the Government of the United States.
2. On 2 July 2023, the Israeli Ministry of Defense (IMD) announced Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has approved the request of the Army Chief of Staff, Bentzi Halevi, to purchase a new squadron of the American-made Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II (F35) joint strike fighters. The planned deal is worth about $3 billion, and Israel will acquire 25 new fighters, raising the total number of F35s operated by the Israeli Air Force to 75. IMD said the purchase of the fighters will be funded by the United States Military Assistance Program.
3. Note: By operating the F35, Israel belongs to a very exclusive club of barely 20 nations. Nonetheless, the F35’s effectiveness has been questioned. Marketed as a stealth multirole combat aircraft that is intended to perform both air superiority and strike missions, the F35 has been criticized by experts as being over-designed and therefore prone to breakdowns and not fit for the multirole missions it has been promoted to be able to do. What has not helped is the F35’s operational record, which includes a rather high number of incidents in its short history of service. Despite those not being extreme, they remain higher than those the F16 Fighting Falcon has incurred over its first decade of operations. Still, the F35 is a formidable fighter jet that has exhibited its combat ability, the over-complex design remains a challenge as it requires equally complicated maintenance. In addition, the heavily computerized F35 system has exhibited some glitches, an embarrassment to what was supposed to be a technologically unsurpassable fighter jet.
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Israel’s Almighty F35
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4. Since acquiring the F35, Israel has been working on fixing its glitches and simplifying its maintenance. The work has been undertaken by the renowned Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI). The IAI is a government-owned aviation industry manufacturer. The IAI is known for innovative solutions and for enhancing already advanced aircraft. An example is the Israeli F16 Fighting Falcon, which the IAI has carried out over 80 modifications to its original system. This has produced an almost entirely different jet fighter called the F16 Sufa (Storm). Thanks to the changes, for over a decade and a half, the Sufa has become one of the world’s most advanced F16 variants – that was until Lockheed Martin introduced the F16V Block 70/72 variant. Eventually, the IAI’s final product was the F35 Adir, which means “almighty” or “superior” in Hebrew, and includes several “classified modifications.”
5. An Israeli defense official reported to JaFaJ sources: “IAI has been able to enhance the F35 system, with a focus on the computerization and avionics systems. Israeli engineers have enhanced or eliminated several “glitches.” Israel has shared these changes through the F35 centralized maintenance management system agreement, which has benefited all other F35 operators.” He added, “Our modifications have also included enhancing countermeasures and weapon delivery accuracy. This has allowed us to build systems that are adaptable to the F35.”
6. The Israeli official added, “We are a nation of innovation. Innovation is centric to our survival, and I won’t apologize for striving to enhance the F35.” The official added “Personally, I think our F35 Adir is one of the most advanced and best-equipped F35s in the air today, and when used in combat, the Adir has scored the F35’s first kills.”
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Israel Sharing the Knowledge, Only with Some
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7. An American defense industry source opined to JaFaJ that, “The Israelis are smart to have developed their own version of the F35. Nonetheless, they are not sharing everything with everyone.” The source continued by saying that “the technology they have developed remains mostly a secret.” Furthermore, the source added, “The reasons they are buying more F35 is most likely because they can trust the bird in combat, especially with the additions they have made to it.” The source continued by saying that “The Israelis have had their doubts about the F35’s ability to eventually replace its ageing F16 fleet. To overcome this, the Israelis have developed their own electronic warfare systems for the F35, and have agreed to share its specifics with the Pentagon.” The source concluded by saying that, “in my opinion, this was the price they had to pay to get more F35.”
8. A British military source in close working proximity to Israel confirmed to JaFaJ that “The Israelis are sharing with the Americans some of their technological modifications made to the F35.”

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Jordan’s Royal Family Trying to Groom Israeli Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir

1. Summary: Feeling the fragility of the Hashemite throne, Jordan’s strong woman, Queen Rania, has ordered her intelligence apparatus to enlist the help of an Arab-Israeli journalist to groom Israeli Minister of Security Itamar Ben-Gvir into befriending the Hashemite kingdom or at least accept Jordan’s claim of “sovereignty” over Al-Aqsa Mosque. The said Arab Israeli journalist has been a valuable asset for the Jordanian General Intelligence Department (GID) for decades. He received orders to approach Ben-Gvir from his Jordanian handlers amid a trip to the United States. He swiftly outreached to Ben-Gvir’s office as soon as he returned to Israel. Nonetheless, the Israeli security agencies have been aware of the plot from the beginning and are keeping an eye on the said journalist’s actions and movements. In addition, it is not remotely possible that Ben-Gvir would fall for the amateurish Jordanian plot.
2. Israeli intelligence sources have confirmed with JaFaJ that Jordan’s Royal Family is trying to find a way to either “befriend or neutralize the Israeli Minister of Security Itamar Ben-Gvir.” JaFaJ has learned that upon orders from Jordan’s Queen Rania, the palace-controlled Jordanian intelligence apparatus was instructed to “find a way to make peace with this crazy guy” [COMMENT: Queen Rania of Jordan is considered by many to be Jordan’s de facto ruler. King Abdullah, her husband, is known for delegating most policy decisions to her as indicated by cables produced by the American Embassy in Amman and made available over the Wikileaks website, https://search.wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/02AMMAN3978_a.html END COMMENT].
3. Note: The Government of Jordan (GOJ) considers Itamar Ben-Gvir a threat because of his views on expanding Israel’s access to Al-Aqsa Mosque, an action that is considered a threat to the Hashemite Kingdom’s prestige as the custodian of Islam’s third holiest site. Since taking over his position as Minister of Security in the Government of Israel, Ben-Gvir has made multiple visits to the premises of Al-Aqsa Mosque, also known as the holy shine. The visits are not banned by either the Israeli government or the Jordanian Waqf which runs the Muslim side of the holy site. Nonetheless, the Hashemite Kingdom has been making a huge fuss about this, and has enlisted her closest allies, such as the United Arab Emirates, to “condemn Ben-Gvir’s visits.”
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The Journalist Turned Hitman
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4. JaFaJ has learned that Queen Rania’s office has enlisted the help of a long-time Jordanian intelligence asset – a Jerusalem-based Arab Israeli journalist. According to an Israeli intelligence source, “The said journalist has gained the trust of the Jordanian intelligence leadership as he proved himself an irreplaceable asset to them over the years.” A Jordanian intelligence source who now resides in Europe confirmed to JaFaJ, “He is our hitman, if the guys [GID] want to attack anyone in Israel or defame him, he was the man they went to, he is very cunning and a horrible narcissist, and has carried out effective campaigns in Israel on behalf of the Mukhabarat [GID]”
5. To avoid Israeli detection, the Jordanians conveyed their orders to the journalist during a trip he made to the United States. Unbeknown to the journalist and his Jordanian handlers, the Israelis had been watching all the way. JaFaJ has learned that a Jordanian intelligence operative met with the journalist in a major American city, and handed him the task, as well as “greetings from His Majesty the King himself.” When the journalist expressed concerns that the Israeli agencies were watching him closely, he said that he feared “that he could get caught spying for Jordan.” According to sources, his Jordanian handler responded that the journalist should fear nothing “because the King secured the release of the Jordanian MP who smuggled weapons and gold to Israel, right under the Israelis’ nose.” The handlers assured the journalist “If they [the Israelis] bother you, His Majesty will be able to secure your release too. Nobody is going to touch a hair on your head.”
6. The said journalist contacted Ben-Gvir’s office on Sunday the 25th of June, a working day in Israel, and requested a meeting with Ben-Gvir within his professional capacity as a journalist. Ben-Gvir’s offices asked that he “put his request in writing and explain the purpose of the interview.” He responded with a letter in which he said that he “wanted to help Ben-Gvir polish his image.”
7. Note: Ben-Gvir has been facing a huge defamation campaign lately. The Israeli left is portraying him as crazy radical, while the Israeli right doubts his sincerity and capability to fulfil his job as Security Minister. An outsider to the Israeli establishment, Ben-Gvir does not have many sympathizers. For example, because of his views on settlements and Israel’s sovereignty in the West Bank, the American Embassy has excluded him from their 4th of July celebration. [COMMENT: The yearly event is considered a political Woodstock for Israel’s elite: END COMMENT]. On the face of it, it appears that the journalist wanted to play on Ben-Gvir’s weakness, offering him help with his public image in an effort to both approach him and groom him. JaFaJ’s Jordanian intelligence source who is now retired in Europe described the said journalist as “a master of manipulation who has a habit of promising Israelis to do a lot of things for them, and in some cases, we helped him deliver fiscal advantages to many influential Israelis and American Jews in the form of gifts”.
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Ben-Gvir Not Falling for It
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8. An Israeli security source opined to JaFaJ that “Ben-Gvir is not stupid, and he is not going to fall for this.” The source added, “We are keeping an eye on the Arab journalist and following his movements closely.” The source added that “It seems the Jordanian monarchy is so desperate and afraid that they are resorting to desperate measures.” The source concluded by saying that “This is Israel, not Syria. They cannot groom a senior Israeli security official” [COMMENT: The Hashemite monarchy ruling Jordan has been facing growing internal economic, political and social challenges. The Queen, Rania, is obsessed with what she believes is an Israeli-American-Saudi plot to depose her husband. Neither country has exhibited any form of hostility to the Jordanian monarchy over the past decade. Nonetheless, Rania’s obsession with this conspiracy theory and her uncalculated actions are unstoppable. END COMMENT]

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Biden Tries To Bribe Netanyahu Over Iran Nukes

1. Summary: The Biden administration is seeking Israel’s secret endorsement of a new nuclear deal between the United States and Iran. Biden is promising the Israelis to limit Iran’s uranium endorsement at 60 percent and forcing her to cease attacking Israel through its proxy terror groups in Lebanon and Gaza. Nonetheless, the Israelis are not convinced and therefore seeking another guarantor for the said deal, particularly the Chinese, Iran’s new mentors. Meanwhile, the attacking Iran’s nuclear program remains an option for the Israelis.
2. In an effort to show that he has foreign policy credibility, President Joe Biden has been pushing to revive the Iran Nuclear Deal negotiated during the Obama Administration. The deal, opposed by Israel on all levels, included allowing Iran to enrich uranium at established and verifiable levels, provided financial incentives that would benefit their economy and would have welcomed Iran into civilized society as equals with open arms.
3. JaFaJ has learned that President Biden has been pressuring Israel to secretly endorse a new nuclear between the United States and Iran. According to JaFaJ intelligence sources in both, Washington DC and Jerusalem, recent visit to Israel by the United States Secretary of State Blinken was to apply pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu to accept the deal. According to the source, the White House is convinced that Israel is close to launching a large-scale attack on Iranian nuclear sites that similar to the one it carried out on the Iraqi nuclear reactor in 1981 which ended the Iraqi nuclear program. The sources reported the President fears such a strike could ignite a full-blown war in the Middle East.
4.JaFaJ sources have confirmed that US Secretary of State Blinken informed Israel that the US is close to finalizing a deal with Iran that President Biden believes that “fairly addresses Israel’s concerns.”
5. The sources added that the deal will include limiting Iran’s uranium enrichment level at 60 percent and committing Iran to stopping terror attacks on Israel by groups that it controls and finances, particularly Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Islamic Jihad in Gaza. Iran will also receive an unannounced cash incentive.
6. A senior Israeli government source confirmed to JaFaJ that Netanyahu was still not convinced by the American offer, doubting Iran’s willingness to commit to such a deal with the United States. According to the source, the Israelis want to bring in other guarantors to secure Iran’s commitment, particularly the Chinese. [COMMENT: China has been collaborating with Iran economically and militarily on an unprecedented scale. Recently China was able to secure a peace agreement between Iran and its long-time archenemy, the Saudi Kingdom. Reftel: https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/chinese-president-pleads-for-saudi-rapprochement-to-iran-saudis-not-convinced/ END COMMENT]
7. Conclusion: The Biden Administration is determined to push a new nuclear deal with Iran. Only that this time, he wants to convince the Israelis that Iran will not pose any threats to them. With the Israelis not buying Biden’s promises, it is more likely Israel will act independently to stop Iran’s militarized nuclear ambition. Considering Israel’s nightmarish memories of ethnic cleansing of Jews and horrifying terror attacks, its unlimited military power and America’s diminishing role in the Middle East, it might be a matter of when will Israel attack Iran’s nuclear program and not if.

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With His Regional Weight Compromised, Mohammad Bin Zayed Trumps the Russian Card

1. Summary: Obsessed with aspirations of greatness and regional dominance United Arab Emirates (UAE) President Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ) has been put in his place thanks to the reconciliation deals between Saudi Arabia and both Iran and Qatar. MBZ has been trying to disrupt the status quo by trying to invoke Russian involvement in regional conflicts, with a focus on the Persian Gulf in particular. MBZ is a man who has played well on the differences and disagreements between his neighbors, and as such, finds himself unable to do what he does best: claim to be the moderator and negotiator on behalf of everyone. Nonetheless, MBZ’s vast oil wealth and his relentless desire to become the region’s “top dog” means that he is not going anywhere, anytime soon.
2. United Arab Emirates (UAE) President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan (MBZ) flew to Russia to meet President Putin on 16 June 2023. According to an official statement by the UAE, Ukraine was the meeting’s main subject. A short video distributed by Russia’s state-owned TV, Russia Today (RT), showed a part of the meeting [https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Xtj1tJWkkIc]. In the video, MBZ is showing strolling with Putin telling him, “We have received a lot of threats because of the Russian situation but thank God we held our ground despite the Westerners.” RT, the UAE’s media, and social media accounts all celebrated the video as evidence of MBZ’s “strength in the face of America and the West,” alleging that the UAE was close to negotiating a deal to end the conflict in Ukraine. Nonetheless, JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Ukraine was just one of the issues discussed, and was by far, not the main topic of discussion.
3. JaFaJ sources in the UAE have confirmed that the top issue discussed was the Chinese-brokered peace deal between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and Iran. The sources reported that MBZ is displeased with the peace between Iran and KSA because it “takes away his position as one of the Persian Gulf’s key players.” The source added that “MBZ and the UAE have the closest ties to Iran amongst all Arab states, and that for more than a decade, he was the go-to guy to negotiate with Iranians, allowing him to play the ‘beasts whisperer’ role.” Therefore, “peace between Iran and the Saudis means that MBZ no longer has any regional significance.”
4. Cultivated JaFaJ sources have confirmed that MBZ wanted President Putin to apply pressure on the Chinese, hopefully pushing them into a position where they “abandoned the peace deal they negotiated between the Saudis and the Iranians.” The source reported that MBZ warned Putin of “Opening the gates wide enough to allow the Chinese to meddle in Middle East affairs.” He also warned that this could come at Russia’s expense and access to the Middle East region.
5. A Western source who sustains good ties with MBZ’s inner circle of advisers has reported to JaFaJ that MBZ “is trying to push Putin into action against the Saudi-Iranian peace by calling in a favor, specifically reminding President Putin of what he has done for him in Syria.” [COMMENT: The favor he mentioned was the reintegration of Assad to the Arab League under UAE’s patronage Syria’s Dictator Bashar Assad is closely aligned with Russia and cooperated with the UAE. They both were working to have Assad readmitted back into the Arab league. The UAE took the lead in reintegrating Assad, who regained his seat at the Arab League Summit in Saudi Arabia in May 2023. Help came in the form of diplomatic pressure and financial bribes paid for by the UAE to different Arab countries for their supportive vote. END COMMENT]
6. A source who has served as a Western advisor to the Government of UAE describes MBZ’s status quo as “convoluted.” The source added, “I don’t think he (MBZ) understands how things work now, he lacks international experience.” The source added, “For example, Putin has an alliance with China, and he will not disrupt that alliance or China’s role in Iran, Bin Zayed just doesn’t understand this.” The source continued by saying that “MBZ overlooks the fact that China supports Russia’s military control over Syria, MBZ just doesn’t understand his regional role, especially the concept that you cannot buy influence.” The source continued by saying that “For some reason, MBZ thinks of world politics as the next mega mansion or European football club he is going to purchase, and he has been failing miserably.”
7. The source concluded by saying that, “without tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran and Saudi Arabia and Qatar, he has no real value as a broker and this alone, nullifies the core of his foreign policy, a policy that he is building on conflicts between his neighbors.” In other words, “His old tricks no longer work.”
MBZ’S Foreign Policy Gurus
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8. The Western source continued his criticism of MBZ’s foreign policy by claiming that “His entire policy is built on the backs of two Palestinians.” The first is Mohammad Dahlan. Dahlan is a former senior PLO official who has lived in exile in the UAE for close to two decades. According to sources, Dahlan is MBZ’s foreign policy “go-to guy.” The source continued by saying that “Dahlan is good at internal security and running a police state, but he does not know much about international politics.” The second Palestinian the source referred to is a naturalized UAE citizen named Zaki Nusseibeh. This advisor was born in Jerusalem to a small family known for its association with Western governments. Nusseibeh has been MBZ’s trusted advisor for over a decade. Supporting his trust, MBZ has appointed Nusseibeh’s daughter, Lana Nusseibeh, as UAE’s ambassador to the United Nations. The source describes both men as “Smart and very efficient with internal politics but not necessarily foreign policy,” but “It’s time that MBZ seek other opinions to help him accept his shrinking regional role.”
Conclusion
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9. The normalization between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Iran and the reconciliation between the Saudis and Qataris have disqualified MBZ as the self-styled key regional player who has been playing shrewdly on regional differences and disputes over the past decade. Many have recognized that MBZ’s tricks have expired and that he has been erased from the decision-making process, making him a hated man by the neighbors thanks to his manipulative tactics and blackmail in a region where leaders have long memories. Today, MBZ has very few allies, and the ones he does have are themselves fragile. [COMMENT: Prime examples are both the Hashemite rulers of Jordan and Libyan warlord, Haftar. END COMMENT]. As a result, MBZ is in no position to challenge anyone or to exert any significant political leverage. On the other hand, the more isolated MBZ feels, the more likely he will navigate regional politics by “stirring the pot,” causing more trouble for himself and others. One thing is certain from these actions: MBZ is not likely to make himself content with the wealth his country is blessed with and avoid getting into trouble. As a result, it appears more likely that the Middle East is going to witness signs of despair and reckless moves by a man who has everything yet is hungry for influence and is burdened by unrealistic aspirations, his role in history and his obsessive ambitions of power.

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