1. Summary: Israel is deploying troops and artillery along its northern borders with Lebanon at a scale unwitnessed over the past 10 years. This is not new, Israel has done this many times before. Nonetheless, it comes when tensions are high between all parties and Iran is negotiating a nuclear deal with the United States. Israel considers the deal to be threat to her existence. Adding fuel to the fire, Iran is likely to benefit from any confrontation between its puppet – Hezbollah – and Israel. They will use the confrontation as a bargaining chip. Full-scale war is not unlikely at this moment.
2. JaFaJ Intelligence Solutions has learned that even with negotiations between Lebanon and Israel over the Northern Gas Fields, the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) is preparing for the worst – full-scale war with Lebanon, Hezbollah and Iran. A pre-set plan was enacted on Friday 20th August 2022. The Plan includes moving armored tanks, artillery and soldiers to Israel’s Northern Border. The movements have been documented visually by Israeli motorists.
3. JaFaJ’s top Israeli sources noted that “deploying troops and preparing for a war with Lebanon is nothing new”. The sources then went on to explain that the hostilities between Israel and the Lebanese based terror group – Hezbollah – have been the norm since the early 2000’s. The source added that “This is not the first time such a major deployment has taken place”.
4. JaFaJ, through a top Israeli government source, has confirmed that as the Biden Administration and Iran are moving closer and closer to signing a new nuclear deal, and the Israelis have made it clear to everyone: “We [Israelis] will not sit on our hands”. The source added that, “We need to be proactive, and take the initiative, even if this means going after Iran’s proxies in Lebanon, Syria, or anywhere else, we are prepared to fight”
5. Comment: Israel regularly deploys troops on the Lebanese border in an effort to thwart any potential attacks by Hezbollah. Recent history shows that Iran utilizes proxies to launch small wars with the US, Israel or Saudi Arabia. They then use this ‘dust up’ as a bargaining chip. Therefore, Israel must be expecting Iran to use the same strategy this time around in an effort to enhance its negotiating position as the talks near their end. One thing is different in this instance, the ongoing negotiations will probably result in Iran securing nuclear weapons in the near future, and as such, it will likely provoke a strong reaction by Israel in Lebanon or elsewhere.