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Tunisia Secretly Cooperating with Israel, Considering A Peace Agreement

1. Summary: Challenged at the domestic level as the public questions its legitimacy and protests their deteriorating economic conditions, the Government of Tunisia (GOT) has recently been warming up to Israel by expanding its intelligence sharing and cooperation with the Government of Israel (GOI). JaFaJ has confirmed that Israeli officials have already visited Tunisia to discuss further cooperation as their Tunisian counterparts promise a peace deal “at the right time.” Nonetheless, Tunisia is one of many Arab countries holding secret ties with Israel. The GOT may be just seeking leverage from the Israelis during these challenging times for Tunisia. Hence, the sudden GOT warmth towards Israel may not translate into a peace agreement, much less a functioning sustainable peace between both countries.
2. JaFaJ sources have learned that Tunisia’s Government has been expanding its intelligence sharing and cooperation with the Israeli Government. The cooperation includes working on issues of mutual interests, countering terror groups, the Mediterranean’s safety and observing radical Islamists operating in Tunisia’s neighbor, Libya.
3. The sources confirmed the recent cooperation with the Israelis has been commissioned by “The highest office in Tunisia and blessed by the country’s military commanders.” The source added that “Tunisia hopes to enhance its standing with the United States, and hopes that by cooperating with Israel, they will be able to strengthen their regional position, and hope Israel will help garner America’s support for Tunisia’s current Government, which is influenced by the army generals. [Reftel: https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/in-tunisia-a-soft-class-act-military-coup-is-cooking/]
4. JaFaJ sources in Tunisia have confirmed that high-ranking Israeli officials have secretly visited Tunisia and met with their Tunisian counterparts. The sources added that these meetings preceded lower-level meetings in Dubai, which were arranged by a wealthy Tunisian businessman who resides there. The sources then confirmed the Tunisian officials promised their Israeli guests “extensive cooperation on security related-matters and expressed their interest in a future peace deal with Israel in what they described as the right time”. An Israeli diplomatic source opined, “We are optimistic about future ties with Tunisia.” The source continued, “It’s not the only Arab nation we have secret ties with at the moment.” The source continued by saying, “Tunisia is a very strategic hub that rests on the Mediterranean Sea and borders Libya, a nation plagued by radicals and terrorists, this makes cooperation between us and Tunisia important.”
5. Note: The GOT has been going through challenging times. A squeezing economic crisis, rampant public dismay of GOT’s performance and unbridled disdain of the Tunisian President Qais Said. For a government whose local confidence is shrinking, and its legitimacy questioned, the GOT has not been able to find much Western support or a Western guarantor. Therefore, it is highly likely GOT is seeking peaceful ties with Israel to strengthen its weak standing on the regional and international scale. The Israelis are aware of this, but have been sustaining a decades-long policy of not turning away anyone who outreaches them in the region. Nonetheless, it would be too optimistic to assume the GOT’s sudden warmth towards Israel may bring a functioning peace agreement with Israel. And even if such an agreement were to come to be, it may be like the peace between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel, which UAE seems to use more for international leverage and public diplomacy rather than achieving real peace between both countries.

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Russia Will Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine, Says Saudi Arabia Rulers

1. Summary: JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) has warned the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom that Russian President Putin was now “very likely” to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine to achieve “a final victory.” JaFaJ sources in both nations are not ruling out the likelihood of MBS concerns materializing.
2. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) of Saudi Arabia is convinced that “Russia has decided to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine to end the war and deter further action from the United States and NATO countries.” According to JaFaJ sources, MBS has warned the United States that they are “underestimating the length Russia is willing to go to achieve victory in Ukraine” and warned them that “It is now a matter of when, not if, Putin will use a limited scale nuclear strike in Ukraine.” An American intelligence source confirmed the report with JaFaJ by saying that “It is true, the Saudis have recently warned the White House and Britain that Putin is a nudge away from using nukes against Ukraine.” He added, “According to the Saudis, Putin is not bluffing.”
3. A Washington, DC based American diplomatic source has confirmed that “The Department of State is very concerned about the escalation of Russia’s attacks on Ukraine.” The source continued, saying that “My opinion does not represent the Department of State, but I think Putin is a man who has too much pride to lose this war.” The source added that “regardless of cost, nobody can predict how far Putin will go to win in Ukraine.” The source continued by saying, “I will not personally rule out the threat of Putin using nuclear weapons in Ukraine if we keep pushing him to the battlefield instead of the negotiation table.”
4-Note: Saudia Arabia has been neutral concerning the war in Ukraine. MBS has been very aware of America’s diminishing power in the Middle East, and as such, MBS has been forging alliances with other forces, focusing on China. This position, and MBS remaining neutral towards Russia, is against what MBS’s Western allies have wanted. At the same time, MBS is convinced that Putin may use tactical nuclear weapons to win Ukraine war. MBS seems so sure, that he personally brought this news to the attention of the White House and President Biden. Therefore, it is a possibility that MBS has directly heard this from either the Russian or Chinese leadership.

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Is Israel’s F35 the Most Advanced in the World? Reasons Israel Is Buying More F35 Joint Strike Fighters

1. Summary: Israel has announced it will acquire 25 additional F35 joint strike fighters. Paraded as the ultimate sky-fighting machine, the highly computerized multirole fighter is over-engineered and requires complex maintenance, thanks to a rather embarrassing history of glitches. The Israelis seem to have overcome those to the point that they are eager to buy more F35s because their F16 Fighting Falcon fleet is ageing. The Israeli-modified F35 Adir is considered one of the most well-equipped F35 variants. The Israelis are sharing their developments and know-how knowledge of the F35 with the Government of the United States.
2. On 2 July 2023, the Israeli Ministry of Defense (IMD) announced Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has approved the request of the Army Chief of Staff, Bentzi Halevi, to purchase a new squadron of the American-made Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II (F35) joint strike fighters. The planned deal is worth about $3 billion, and Israel will acquire 25 new fighters, raising the total number of F35s operated by the Israeli Air Force to 75. IMD said the purchase of the fighters will be funded by the United States Military Assistance Program.
3. Note: By operating the F35, Israel belongs to a very exclusive club of barely 20 nations. Nonetheless, the F35’s effectiveness has been questioned. Marketed as a stealth multirole combat aircraft that is intended to perform both air superiority and strike missions, the F35 has been criticized by experts as being over-designed and therefore prone to breakdowns and not fit for the multirole missions it has been promoted to be able to do. What has not helped is the F35’s operational record, which includes a rather high number of incidents in its short history of service. Despite those not being extreme, they remain higher than those the F16 Fighting Falcon has incurred over its first decade of operations. Still, the F35 is a formidable fighter jet that has exhibited its combat ability, the over-complex design remains a challenge as it requires equally complicated maintenance. In addition, the heavily computerized F35 system has exhibited some glitches, an embarrassment to what was supposed to be a technologically unsurpassable fighter jet.
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Israel’s Almighty F35
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4. Since acquiring the F35, Israel has been working on fixing its glitches and simplifying its maintenance. The work has been undertaken by the renowned Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI). The IAI is a government-owned aviation industry manufacturer. The IAI is known for innovative solutions and for enhancing already advanced aircraft. An example is the Israeli F16 Fighting Falcon, which the IAI has carried out over 80 modifications to its original system. This has produced an almost entirely different jet fighter called the F16 Sufa (Storm). Thanks to the changes, for over a decade and a half, the Sufa has become one of the world’s most advanced F16 variants – that was until Lockheed Martin introduced the F16V Block 70/72 variant. Eventually, the IAI’s final product was the F35 Adir, which means “almighty” or “superior” in Hebrew, and includes several “classified modifications.”
5. An Israeli defense official reported to JaFaJ sources: “IAI has been able to enhance the F35 system, with a focus on the computerization and avionics systems. Israeli engineers have enhanced or eliminated several “glitches.” Israel has shared these changes through the F35 centralized maintenance management system agreement, which has benefited all other F35 operators.” He added, “Our modifications have also included enhancing countermeasures and weapon delivery accuracy. This has allowed us to build systems that are adaptable to the F35.”
6. The Israeli official added, “We are a nation of innovation. Innovation is centric to our survival, and I won’t apologize for striving to enhance the F35.” The official added “Personally, I think our F35 Adir is one of the most advanced and best-equipped F35s in the air today, and when used in combat, the Adir has scored the F35’s first kills.”
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Israel Sharing the Knowledge, Only with Some
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7. An American defense industry source opined to JaFaJ that, “The Israelis are smart to have developed their own version of the F35. Nonetheless, they are not sharing everything with everyone.” The source continued by saying that “the technology they have developed remains mostly a secret.” Furthermore, the source added, “The reasons they are buying more F35 is most likely because they can trust the bird in combat, especially with the additions they have made to it.” The source continued by saying that “The Israelis have had their doubts about the F35’s ability to eventually replace its ageing F16 fleet. To overcome this, the Israelis have developed their own electronic warfare systems for the F35, and have agreed to share its specifics with the Pentagon.” The source concluded by saying that, “in my opinion, this was the price they had to pay to get more F35.”
8. A British military source in close working proximity to Israel confirmed to JaFaJ that “The Israelis are sharing with the Americans some of their technological modifications made to the F35.”

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Jordan’s Royal Family Trying to Groom Israeli Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir

1. Summary: Feeling the fragility of the Hashemite throne, Jordan’s strong woman, Queen Rania, has ordered her intelligence apparatus to enlist the help of an Arab-Israeli journalist to groom Israeli Minister of Security Itamar Ben-Gvir into befriending the Hashemite kingdom or at least accept Jordan’s claim of “sovereignty” over Al-Aqsa Mosque. The said Arab Israeli journalist has been a valuable asset for the Jordanian General Intelligence Department (GID) for decades. He received orders to approach Ben-Gvir from his Jordanian handlers amid a trip to the United States. He swiftly outreached to Ben-Gvir’s office as soon as he returned to Israel. Nonetheless, the Israeli security agencies have been aware of the plot from the beginning and are keeping an eye on the said journalist’s actions and movements. In addition, it is not remotely possible that Ben-Gvir would fall for the amateurish Jordanian plot.
2. Israeli intelligence sources have confirmed with JaFaJ that Jordan’s Royal Family is trying to find a way to either “befriend or neutralize the Israeli Minister of Security Itamar Ben-Gvir.” JaFaJ has learned that upon orders from Jordan’s Queen Rania, the palace-controlled Jordanian intelligence apparatus was instructed to “find a way to make peace with this crazy guy” [COMMENT: Queen Rania of Jordan is considered by many to be Jordan’s de facto ruler. King Abdullah, her husband, is known for delegating most policy decisions to her as indicated by cables produced by the American Embassy in Amman and made available over the Wikileaks website, https://search.wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/02AMMAN3978_a.html END COMMENT].
3. Note: The Government of Jordan (GOJ) considers Itamar Ben-Gvir a threat because of his views on expanding Israel’s access to Al-Aqsa Mosque, an action that is considered a threat to the Hashemite Kingdom’s prestige as the custodian of Islam’s third holiest site. Since taking over his position as Minister of Security in the Government of Israel, Ben-Gvir has made multiple visits to the premises of Al-Aqsa Mosque, also known as the holy shine. The visits are not banned by either the Israeli government or the Jordanian Waqf which runs the Muslim side of the holy site. Nonetheless, the Hashemite Kingdom has been making a huge fuss about this, and has enlisted her closest allies, such as the United Arab Emirates, to “condemn Ben-Gvir’s visits.”
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The Journalist Turned Hitman
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4. JaFaJ has learned that Queen Rania’s office has enlisted the help of a long-time Jordanian intelligence asset – a Jerusalem-based Arab Israeli journalist. According to an Israeli intelligence source, “The said journalist has gained the trust of the Jordanian intelligence leadership as he proved himself an irreplaceable asset to them over the years.” A Jordanian intelligence source who now resides in Europe confirmed to JaFaJ, “He is our hitman, if the guys [GID] want to attack anyone in Israel or defame him, he was the man they went to, he is very cunning and a horrible narcissist, and has carried out effective campaigns in Israel on behalf of the Mukhabarat [GID]”
5. To avoid Israeli detection, the Jordanians conveyed their orders to the journalist during a trip he made to the United States. Unbeknown to the journalist and his Jordanian handlers, the Israelis had been watching all the way. JaFaJ has learned that a Jordanian intelligence operative met with the journalist in a major American city, and handed him the task, as well as “greetings from His Majesty the King himself.” When the journalist expressed concerns that the Israeli agencies were watching him closely, he said that he feared “that he could get caught spying for Jordan.” According to sources, his Jordanian handler responded that the journalist should fear nothing “because the King secured the release of the Jordanian MP who smuggled weapons and gold to Israel, right under the Israelis’ nose.” The handlers assured the journalist “If they [the Israelis] bother you, His Majesty will be able to secure your release too. Nobody is going to touch a hair on your head.”
6. The said journalist contacted Ben-Gvir’s office on Sunday the 25th of June, a working day in Israel, and requested a meeting with Ben-Gvir within his professional capacity as a journalist. Ben-Gvir’s offices asked that he “put his request in writing and explain the purpose of the interview.” He responded with a letter in which he said that he “wanted to help Ben-Gvir polish his image.”
7. Note: Ben-Gvir has been facing a huge defamation campaign lately. The Israeli left is portraying him as crazy radical, while the Israeli right doubts his sincerity and capability to fulfil his job as Security Minister. An outsider to the Israeli establishment, Ben-Gvir does not have many sympathizers. For example, because of his views on settlements and Israel’s sovereignty in the West Bank, the American Embassy has excluded him from their 4th of July celebration. [COMMENT: The yearly event is considered a political Woodstock for Israel’s elite: END COMMENT]. On the face of it, it appears that the journalist wanted to play on Ben-Gvir’s weakness, offering him help with his public image in an effort to both approach him and groom him. JaFaJ’s Jordanian intelligence source who is now retired in Europe described the said journalist as “a master of manipulation who has a habit of promising Israelis to do a lot of things for them, and in some cases, we helped him deliver fiscal advantages to many influential Israelis and American Jews in the form of gifts”.
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Ben-Gvir Not Falling for It
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8. An Israeli security source opined to JaFaJ that “Ben-Gvir is not stupid, and he is not going to fall for this.” The source added, “We are keeping an eye on the Arab journalist and following his movements closely.” The source added that “It seems the Jordanian monarchy is so desperate and afraid that they are resorting to desperate measures.” The source concluded by saying that “This is Israel, not Syria. They cannot groom a senior Israeli security official” [COMMENT: The Hashemite monarchy ruling Jordan has been facing growing internal economic, political and social challenges. The Queen, Rania, is obsessed with what she believes is an Israeli-American-Saudi plot to depose her husband. Neither country has exhibited any form of hostility to the Jordanian monarchy over the past decade. Nonetheless, Rania’s obsession with this conspiracy theory and her uncalculated actions are unstoppable. END COMMENT]

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Biden Tries To Bribe Netanyahu Over Iran Nukes

1. Summary: The Biden administration is seeking Israel’s secret endorsement of a new nuclear deal between the United States and Iran. Biden is promising the Israelis to limit Iran’s uranium endorsement at 60 percent and forcing her to cease attacking Israel through its proxy terror groups in Lebanon and Gaza. Nonetheless, the Israelis are not convinced and therefore seeking another guarantor for the said deal, particularly the Chinese, Iran’s new mentors. Meanwhile, the attacking Iran’s nuclear program remains an option for the Israelis.
2. In an effort to show that he has foreign policy credibility, President Joe Biden has been pushing to revive the Iran Nuclear Deal negotiated during the Obama Administration. The deal, opposed by Israel on all levels, included allowing Iran to enrich uranium at established and verifiable levels, provided financial incentives that would benefit their economy and would have welcomed Iran into civilized society as equals with open arms.
3. JaFaJ has learned that President Biden has been pressuring Israel to secretly endorse a new nuclear between the United States and Iran. According to JaFaJ intelligence sources in both, Washington DC and Jerusalem, recent visit to Israel by the United States Secretary of State Blinken was to apply pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu to accept the deal. According to the source, the White House is convinced that Israel is close to launching a large-scale attack on Iranian nuclear sites that similar to the one it carried out on the Iraqi nuclear reactor in 1981 which ended the Iraqi nuclear program. The sources reported the President fears such a strike could ignite a full-blown war in the Middle East.
4.JaFaJ sources have confirmed that US Secretary of State Blinken informed Israel that the US is close to finalizing a deal with Iran that President Biden believes that “fairly addresses Israel’s concerns.”
5. The sources added that the deal will include limiting Iran’s uranium enrichment level at 60 percent and committing Iran to stopping terror attacks on Israel by groups that it controls and finances, particularly Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Islamic Jihad in Gaza. Iran will also receive an unannounced cash incentive.
6. A senior Israeli government source confirmed to JaFaJ that Netanyahu was still not convinced by the American offer, doubting Iran’s willingness to commit to such a deal with the United States. According to the source, the Israelis want to bring in other guarantors to secure Iran’s commitment, particularly the Chinese. [COMMENT: China has been collaborating with Iran economically and militarily on an unprecedented scale. Recently China was able to secure a peace agreement between Iran and its long-time archenemy, the Saudi Kingdom. Reftel: https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/chinese-president-pleads-for-saudi-rapprochement-to-iran-saudis-not-convinced/ END COMMENT]
7. Conclusion: The Biden Administration is determined to push a new nuclear deal with Iran. Only that this time, he wants to convince the Israelis that Iran will not pose any threats to them. With the Israelis not buying Biden’s promises, it is more likely Israel will act independently to stop Iran’s militarized nuclear ambition. Considering Israel’s nightmarish memories of ethnic cleansing of Jews and horrifying terror attacks, its unlimited military power and America’s diminishing role in the Middle East, it might be a matter of when will Israel attack Iran’s nuclear program and not if.

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With His Regional Weight Compromised, Mohammad Bin Zayed Trumps the Russian Card

1. Summary: Obsessed with aspirations of greatness and regional dominance United Arab Emirates (UAE) President Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ) has been put in his place thanks to the reconciliation deals between Saudi Arabia and both Iran and Qatar. MBZ has been trying to disrupt the status quo by trying to invoke Russian involvement in regional conflicts, with a focus on the Persian Gulf in particular. MBZ is a man who has played well on the differences and disagreements between his neighbors, and as such, finds himself unable to do what he does best: claim to be the moderator and negotiator on behalf of everyone. Nonetheless, MBZ’s vast oil wealth and his relentless desire to become the region’s “top dog” means that he is not going anywhere, anytime soon.
2. United Arab Emirates (UAE) President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan (MBZ) flew to Russia to meet President Putin on 16 June 2023. According to an official statement by the UAE, Ukraine was the meeting’s main subject. A short video distributed by Russia’s state-owned TV, Russia Today (RT), showed a part of the meeting [https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Xtj1tJWkkIc]. In the video, MBZ is showing strolling with Putin telling him, “We have received a lot of threats because of the Russian situation but thank God we held our ground despite the Westerners.” RT, the UAE’s media, and social media accounts all celebrated the video as evidence of MBZ’s “strength in the face of America and the West,” alleging that the UAE was close to negotiating a deal to end the conflict in Ukraine. Nonetheless, JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Ukraine was just one of the issues discussed, and was by far, not the main topic of discussion.
3. JaFaJ sources in the UAE have confirmed that the top issue discussed was the Chinese-brokered peace deal between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and Iran. The sources reported that MBZ is displeased with the peace between Iran and KSA because it “takes away his position as one of the Persian Gulf’s key players.” The source added that “MBZ and the UAE have the closest ties to Iran amongst all Arab states, and that for more than a decade, he was the go-to guy to negotiate with Iranians, allowing him to play the ‘beasts whisperer’ role.” Therefore, “peace between Iran and the Saudis means that MBZ no longer has any regional significance.”
4. Cultivated JaFaJ sources have confirmed that MBZ wanted President Putin to apply pressure on the Chinese, hopefully pushing them into a position where they “abandoned the peace deal they negotiated between the Saudis and the Iranians.” The source reported that MBZ warned Putin of “Opening the gates wide enough to allow the Chinese to meddle in Middle East affairs.” He also warned that this could come at Russia’s expense and access to the Middle East region.
5. A Western source who sustains good ties with MBZ’s inner circle of advisers has reported to JaFaJ that MBZ “is trying to push Putin into action against the Saudi-Iranian peace by calling in a favor, specifically reminding President Putin of what he has done for him in Syria.” [COMMENT: The favor he mentioned was the reintegration of Assad to the Arab League under UAE’s patronage Syria’s Dictator Bashar Assad is closely aligned with Russia and cooperated with the UAE. They both were working to have Assad readmitted back into the Arab league. The UAE took the lead in reintegrating Assad, who regained his seat at the Arab League Summit in Saudi Arabia in May 2023. Help came in the form of diplomatic pressure and financial bribes paid for by the UAE to different Arab countries for their supportive vote. END COMMENT]
6. A source who has served as a Western advisor to the Government of UAE describes MBZ’s status quo as “convoluted.” The source added, “I don’t think he (MBZ) understands how things work now, he lacks international experience.” The source added, “For example, Putin has an alliance with China, and he will not disrupt that alliance or China’s role in Iran, Bin Zayed just doesn’t understand this.” The source continued by saying that “MBZ overlooks the fact that China supports Russia’s military control over Syria, MBZ just doesn’t understand his regional role, especially the concept that you cannot buy influence.” The source continued by saying that “For some reason, MBZ thinks of world politics as the next mega mansion or European football club he is going to purchase, and he has been failing miserably.”
7. The source concluded by saying that, “without tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran and Saudi Arabia and Qatar, he has no real value as a broker and this alone, nullifies the core of his foreign policy, a policy that he is building on conflicts between his neighbors.” In other words, “His old tricks no longer work.”
MBZ’S Foreign Policy Gurus
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8. The Western source continued his criticism of MBZ’s foreign policy by claiming that “His entire policy is built on the backs of two Palestinians.” The first is Mohammad Dahlan. Dahlan is a former senior PLO official who has lived in exile in the UAE for close to two decades. According to sources, Dahlan is MBZ’s foreign policy “go-to guy.” The source continued by saying that “Dahlan is good at internal security and running a police state, but he does not know much about international politics.” The second Palestinian the source referred to is a naturalized UAE citizen named Zaki Nusseibeh. This advisor was born in Jerusalem to a small family known for its association with Western governments. Nusseibeh has been MBZ’s trusted advisor for over a decade. Supporting his trust, MBZ has appointed Nusseibeh’s daughter, Lana Nusseibeh, as UAE’s ambassador to the United Nations. The source describes both men as “Smart and very efficient with internal politics but not necessarily foreign policy,” but “It’s time that MBZ seek other opinions to help him accept his shrinking regional role.”
Conclusion
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9. The normalization between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Iran and the reconciliation between the Saudis and Qataris have disqualified MBZ as the self-styled key regional player who has been playing shrewdly on regional differences and disputes over the past decade. Many have recognized that MBZ’s tricks have expired and that he has been erased from the decision-making process, making him a hated man by the neighbors thanks to his manipulative tactics and blackmail in a region where leaders have long memories. Today, MBZ has very few allies, and the ones he does have are themselves fragile. [COMMENT: Prime examples are both the Hashemite rulers of Jordan and Libyan warlord, Haftar. END COMMENT]. As a result, MBZ is in no position to challenge anyone or to exert any significant political leverage. On the other hand, the more isolated MBZ feels, the more likely he will navigate regional politics by “stirring the pot,” causing more trouble for himself and others. One thing is certain from these actions: MBZ is not likely to make himself content with the wealth his country is blessed with and avoid getting into trouble. As a result, it appears more likely that the Middle East is going to witness signs of despair and reckless moves by a man who has everything yet is hungry for influence and is burdened by unrealistic aspirations, his role in history and his obsessive ambitions of power.

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Israeli Army Expecting Attacks on the Borders with Lebanon and Jordan

1. Summary: Determined to defend their homeland, the Israeli Defence Force (IDF) is currently on alert to a highly-elevated risk of terror attacks and infiltration from both the Lebanon and Jordan’s borders. This comes after the Israeli Military Intelligence Directorate (MID) briefed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu following an attack by an Egyptian border guard on June 3, 2023, which left three Israeli soldiers dead. The MID is concerned about the potential copycat situation amid mounting tensions with Jordan, noting that even members of the Jordanian Royal Family and Jordanian intelligence operations hold profound anti-Israeli views. At the same time, the Israelis are expecting more serve attacks from the Lebanese front, warning that Hezbollah may resort to kidnapping Israeli soldiers again as it did in 2006 which resulted in the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah.
2. JaFaJ Intelligence Solutions has learned that the IDF is on high alert for potential terror attacks on Israel’s borders, with a focus being on the Lebanese and Jordanian Borders. JaFaJ has also confirmed that the Israeli Military Intelligence Directorate (MID) fully briefed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on June 4, 2023 about the surge of potential border attacks and that Israel needed to be prepared for “copycat actions” that could (would) lead to a variety of deadly scenarios.
3. These warnings came less than 24 hours after an Egyptian border guard shot and killed two Israeli soldiers as they secured their position on the Egyptian border on June 3, 2023. The Egyptians crossed into Israeli territory and then killed a third Israeli soldier before he was neutralized by the Israeli forces.
4. According to Egypt’s official media, the government claims that the guard crossed the borders while he was chasing drug traffickers. JaFaJ has learned from American sources in Egypt, that “while the Egyptian military intelligence is still investigating the incident, they are convinced this was a terror attack, and that it is unlikely they will ever acknowledge this publicly.”
5. According to well-informed JaFaJ sources, MID has confirmed that the risk of increased attacks from Lebanon “may not be limited to throwing mortar shells as usual, and will possibly involve both infiltrating the borders and kidnapping soldiers like Hezbollah did in 2006.” [COMMENT: in 2006, the Lebanese terror group Hezbollah, infiltrated the Israeli borders, killed eight Israelis soldier, and kidnapped two Israelis. This ultimately resulted in the 2006 war in Lebanon. END COMMENT]
6. JaFaJ can also confirm the MID has also warned of the “surging risk of terror attacks on the borders with Jordan, as those may be carried out by members of the Jordanian military.” The source added that the attacks may be triggered by a “potential copycat effect,” similar to the one carried out by the Egyptian officer earlier this week. A source reported the MID’s concern that such an attack is likely to happen because of elevated, “wide-spread hatred for Israel by the Jordanian Royal Family, as well as the military and intelligence, ranks that are closest to King Abdullah.”
7. Conclusion: As tensions rise in the Middle East and the fallout from the recent arrest of Jordan’s King’s loyalist and Parliament Member Emad Al-Edwan for smuggling both weapons and gold and his ultimate release, problems are going to arise. In addition, after the recent attack on Israeli soldiers by an Egyptian border guard, Israel will remain on high alert as she has tightened her borders. What is more alarming to Israel is the fact that she could not depend on her formerly trusted Arab allies, Jordan, and Egypt, to protect her borders. This sobering fact is a reminder that Israel can only depend on herself for protecting her citizens, and that as the region’s economic woes play a huge role in the actions of all governments and their people.

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Israeli Army Expecting Attacks on the Borders with Lebanon and Jordan Read More »

Israel Will Prosecute Jordanian Parliamentarian for Terror Charges Despite Pressure from Jordan’s King

1. Summary: JaFaJ can confirm that the Israeli government has decided to prosecute the Jordanian Member of Parliament, Emad Al-Edwan, on terror charges, despite pressure from Jordan’s King and the United Arab Emirates. Prime Minister Netanyahu is supporting the Israeli Attorney General (AG) in carrying out the prosecution. A recent story run by an Israeli news site Maariv, claims Al-Edwan would be released soon, but this was dismissed as unfounded by a senior Israeli security source.
2. JaFaJ has learned that the Israeli police have finished its investigation of Jordanian Member of Parliament (MP) Emad Al-Edwan. Al-Edwan has been detained by Israeli authorities since April 23rd when he was arrested for attempting to smuggle 200 pieces of highly powered weapons and 220lbs of gold from Jordan into Israel. [Ref. JaFaJ report [https://acuitywebtechnologies.com/jafaj/jordanian-parliament-member-arrested-in-israel-for-smuggling-weapons-gold-the-untold-facts/]
Maariv Story “Unfounded”
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3. On April 28th 2023, Israeli newspapers Maariv ran a story claiming that Israel and Jordan had reached a “deal” to secure the release of Al-Edwan. Israeli journalist Jacky Hugi authored the report and claimed that the significance of Al-Edwan’s tribe’s has played a huge role in achieving the alleged deal. JaFaJ verified Hugi’s claims with a senior security official in Jerusalem. The official has confirmed that “This is totally unfounded, we have not made any deals with the Jordanians regarding Al-Edwan, and nobody can speak about this other than the AG’s or PM’s office at this moment.” The source continued, “In Israeli we have laws, this is a legal matter; Al-Edwan is not above the law.”
4. Furthermore, Al-Edwan’s tribe numbers a few hundred individuals “scattered across the entire central region of Jordan.” They do not pose any significant security or political threat to Israel or the Jordanian regime. [COMMENT: The so-called native Jordanians are the minority in modern day Jordan, with the Palestinians making up over 90 percent of the population. Nonetheless, the King’s decades-long rhetoric has been that the “tribes are so strong and that he alone could keep them under control.” In reality, the tribes do not have any military leverage and the Hashemite Kingdom has historically been preserved by foreign militaries including the Britons, the Pakistanis and the Americans. END COMMENT]
5. JaFaJ Intelligence sources have also learned that Israel’s police have forwarded all evidence, which includes recorded testimonies by Al-Edwan, to Israel’s Attorney General (AG), Gali Baharav-Miara. JaFaJ intelligence sources are reporting that the AG and her team are convinced that they have collected enough evidence to prosecute and convict Al-Edwan for several charges related to terrorism. An Israeli source has confirmed with JaFaJ that the AG met Israeli Prime Minister (PM) Netanyahu, last week and discussed the matter. Senior commanders of the Israel Security Agency, Shen Bit, and the Mossad also attended the meeting.
6. In the meeting, the AG discussed the evidence with the PM and outlined how she planned to prosecute Al-Edwan. JaFaJ sources confirmed that Netanyahu assured the AG of his support and that justice had to be served regardless of the pressure on Israel to release Al-Edwan.
7. Since the MP’s capture, JaFaJ has confirmed that Israel has been facing growing pressure to release Al-Edwan and sweep the entire matter under the rug. A JaFaJ source close to Jordan’s King Abdullah says that the King has mobilized his allies to pressure the Israelis, resulting in a barrage of phone calls to Netanyahu’s office from several European governments, the United Arab Emirates, and Egypt. According to the source, they were “all trying to twist Netanyahu’s arm into letting Al-Edwan out and claiming that the whole issue was just a misunderstanding.” Even so, both the PM and AG appear determined to make Al-Edwan face justice.
8. “The most radical pressure is coming from the United Arab Emirates,” an American security source reported to JaFaJ. “Mohammad Bin Zayed [UAE’s president] seems to be in love with Jordan’s King.” The source continued, “He wanted the Jordanian Congressman [MP] released scot-free, he just doesn’t realize how much damage this has done to his image here [in the United States] and in Israel.”
9. JaFaJ sources have confirmed that Al-Edwan was transferred to a secure maximum-security facility where he is being held in solitary confinement.
10. Conclusion: Despite the King’s pleas and pressure from his Arab and Western allies, it does not seem likely that Israel would ever release the MP before trial. Unless something drastic changes, Al-Edwan will likely face justice in Israeli courts with the possibility of spending many years in prison. This signifies a shift in policy by Israel, which has been very tolerant of Abdullah’s provocations, threats and direct tampering with Israel’s security.

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Jordanian Parliament Member Arrested In Israel for Smuggling Weapons & Gold – The Untold Facts

Note: This story is developing fast, and will be updated as information becomes available.
1.Summary:
Jordanian Parliament Member Emad Al-Edwan was arrested on the 23rd of April, 2023 after crossing from Jordan into Israel. He was trying to smuggle high power weapons and gold into the country. JaFaJ was able to confirm the man is highly connected to the Kings inner circle and is considered a Jordanian intelligence asset. Jordan’s King private office has been pushing Israel to release him but without success so far. JaFaJ sources insinuated damning evidence of the Hashemite Kingdoms’ connections to terrorist groups who have carried out attacks in Israel.
2. On Sunday, April 23, 2023, Jordanian Parliament Member Emad Al-Edwan was arrested by the Israeli authorities after crossing the Allenby Bridge from Jordan for attempting to smuggle weapons and 100 kilograms (220 pounds) of gold into Israel.
3. The weapon cache included several M4 assault rifles and other high-powered weapons. The Israeli media circulated a video of the seized weapons without mentioning the Jordanian parliamentarian’s name in their story until the Israeli government issued a gag order banning the media from reporting on the matter. [COMMENT: The Israeli government takes Gag orders very seriously, with those breaking them risking significant jail time. A gag order is considered a state security matter in the Jewish state. END COMMENT]
Who is Emad Al-Edwan?
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4. Emad Al-Edwan is a Jordanian of East Bank heritage. His family dub themselves “a tribe,” indicating vast numbers of tribesmen, as most East Bank Jordanians do. In reality, the Al-Edwan family number less than 500 individuals and is no more prominent than any other family in Jordan. Born in 1988, Al-Edwan is married and holds a master’s degree in law. Before becoming a Parliament member, he was not a very successful lawyer with a humble practice in the Jordanian capital Amman.
5. Since college, Emad has been affiliated with the fearsome and very capable Mukhabarat, the Jordanian Genrra; Intellgence Department (GID). A Jordanian intelligence source confirmed: “He has been an informer of ours since 1997, and we have helped him win a parliamentary seat.” [COMMENT: In Jordan, the GID is known for meddling in all aspects in life in a manner very similar to the Stasi of East Germany, from soccer teams to government appointments. The GID follows a lifelong affiliation method: they recruit informants from universities and let them work for them for a lifetime. Hence it is only logical Al-Edwan would have never become a Parliament Member in a country where the GID has a documented history of rigging elections. END COMMENT]
The King’s Body, Al-Edwan, is More Connected than Most
——————————————————
6. A Western intelligence source in Amman has confided to us that “Emad Al-Edwan is considered to be one of the King’s inner circle, with strong connections to the spokesman of the Jordanian parliament Ahmd Al-Safadi. As such, Al-Edwan was highly favored by both the King whom he met with regularly and the GID.” An American source reported to JaFaJ: “Al-Edwan was on the King’s A-list, and a likely candidate for the position of Speaker of the House or Prime Minister. He is also considered one of the King’s pit bulls, the go-to guy for crazy missions.”
Al-Edwan Was Covered by the Jordanian Embassy
————————————————————–
7. JaFaJ intelligence sources have confirmed that Al-Edwan entered Israel under direct diplomatic coordination provided by the Jordanian Embassy in Tel Aviv. In addition, Jordanian diplomats were “present” when the bust occurred. A Western intelligence source reported to JaFaJ that Israeli intelligence against suspect the Jordanian diplomats were involved in the smuggling operation and had aided and abetted Al-Edwan. The sources added that the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs informed the Embassy that it sought to speak to those diplomats to ask them what they knew about the matter. Still, the Jordanian turned this request down, and two diplomats hastily fled back to Amman in the afternoon.
8. At the same time, JaFaJ has confirmed that the head of the King of Jordan’s Royal Hashemite Court and his Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ayman Safadi, has been trying to reach Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu since the arrest took place, hoping to secure the release of Al-Edwan and to stop the media coverage of the story. In addition, the Jordanian Chief of Intelligence, Hatuqai, called the Deputy Director of the Mossad, the Israeli intelligence services.
9. JaFaJ can confirm the gag order was issued by the Israeli government for what our well-connected Western source in Jerusalem calls “A point of reasoning with Jordan in exchange for Al-Edwan telling them whom he has been delivering weapons and money to.”
The source added Al-Edwan has been on the radar screen of the Israeli security agencies for some time, and they have documented him delivering weapons and cash to several terror operatives in the West Bank, and this is supported with an abundance of evidence of that.”
Worse Than Anyone Thinks
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10. A Western intelligence source reported to JaFaJ the case of Al-Edwan is “worse than we have thought; it shows the government of Jordan has facilitated the delivery of weapons and cash to terror organizations in the territories [the West Bank] that have been used in recent terror attacks against Israeli civilians.”
11. JaFaJ has confirmed that Al-Edwan has been involved in three similar operations before this one, with connections to the newly emerging terror group “Ariene Al-Asood.” An Israeli source reported the following to JaFaJ, “We cannot comment on the case, but we have known from the beginning that Ariene Al-Asood is an offshoot of the Jordanian intelligence in the West Bank.”
What the Israelis Want to Know
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12. As the interrogation of Al-Edwan continues, the Israelis are seeking more information from him about whom he was planning to deliver weapons for in future operations and who has been giving him the orders in Jordan. Currently, the Israeli are more concerned with gathering evidence implicating the Jordanian government to stop it from supporting terrorists.
The King Wants to Blame it on the Iranians
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13. JaFaJ learned Jordan’s King’s advisors are working on blaming the issue on Iran and claiming Al-Edwan was working on behalf of Iranians. An American source reported to JaFaJ, “The Jordanians began calling everyone who would listen in DC claiming it was the Iranians and not them; this is hard to believe because Israel has been providing evidence suggesting the contrary and pointing towards Jordan.”

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Jordanian Parliament Member Arrested In Israel for Smuggling Weapons & Gold – The Untold Facts Read More »

Qatar Will not be Providing Any More Money to Jordan’s King

1. Summary: the King of Jordan has dispatched his Prime Minister to wealthy Qatar to seek extra financial aid. It is unlikely that Qatar will be providing any additional assistance to Jordan because of its recent reconsolidation with Saudi Arabia and also Saudi Arabia’s normalization with Iran. These political developments have stripped the King of any significance that he has ever had as the “semi-official middleman” between all parties. In addition, the King’s recklessness and arrogant positions and attitudes has cost him friends in the region, especially with the Arab Gulf states who are conscious of their honour and dignity. Strapped for cash and profoundly disliked by his people, the King might face serious public protests and unrest by his subjects by the summer of this year, with no sign from any of his fellow Arab rulers being able or willing to help Abdullah avoid his fate.
2. According to Petra, Jordan’s state news agency, Jordan’s Prime Minister Bisher Al-Khasawneh flew to Qatar on April 9th, 2023, where it was reported that the “Prime Minister and a ministerial team began a two-day visit to Doha on Monday.” What’s unique about the visit is that Jordan’s King Abdullah rarely allows officials to conduct external visits. He only lets his Foreign Minister, Ayman Safadi, conduct such visits but rarely meets with governments of wealth or significance, such as Qatar. This made it very unusual for the King to allow his Prime Minister to pay an extended visit to Qatar, one of the King’s most staunch allies.
3. JaFaJ sources within the Jordanian government have confirmed that Al-Khasawneh’s visit was ordered by the King and his wife. A Jordanian General Intelligence Department source reported, “The King needs Qatar’s money and has been begging them for aid since last November, but to no avail. As a result, he took a different approach and sent the Prime Minister to do the begging and save himself [the King] some dignity.” Asked why he thought Qatar was no longer giving the King aid, the source responded, “It’s not just Qatar.” The source continued, “Except for the UAE and Oman, Gulf Arabs have not been providing any substantial help.”
4. The source added, “They are no longer convinced that they need to support Jordan, and they are not desperate for our help like before.” The source continued, “It is because they have on-going secret talks with Israel, and they are no longer afraid of Iran after Saudi Arabia and Iran signed a peace deal.” The source confided with JaFaJ that “as a result, they do not need the King to carry messages to either the Iranians or the Israelis and act as the middleman.” He added, “Now we [the Government of Jordan] are nobody to them.” His conclusion was surprising, “It is much worse than you think. Some of those Gulf States have established ties with the King’s growing opposition in London and, elsewhere, something they would not have dared to do just a year ago.”
5. JaFaJ sources inside the King’s office, the Royal Hashemite Court, confirmed that Al-Khaswaneh’s visit to Qatar was mainly ordered by the King’s wife, Queen Rania, who told him “To get as much financial support he could, even if just a few million dollars – anything.” The sources confirmed that Arab Gulf states have not been providing aid like they used to. [COMMENT: Several Arab Gulf states follow the leadership of Saudi Arabia, and the Saudis have lost a lot of confidence in Jordan’s monarchy due to King Abduallah’s ties to Iran which he had refused to end despite Iran’s hostility to Saudi Arabia. While Saudi-Jordanian times are not exactly wrong, some Saudi aid still flows, and the old days of substantial Saudi grants are gone. END COMMENT]
The Qatari Well Has Dried Up; Jordan A “Foreign Aid Blackhole”
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6. Despite being one of the world’s top gas exporters, the wealthy Qataris are cautious regarding how they spend their money, especially when Jordan is involved. A source close to Qatar’s Royal Emiri Court confided to JaFaJ, “Qatar no longer sees that it should provide any further help to Jordan’s King.” The source added, “We have provided a lot, and we employ tens of thousands of his [the King’s] people for very little appreciation.” The source continued, “We have our concerns and children to provide for, and those need our money more than anyone else.” He added, “Our political support for the King is unwavering; His Royal Highness Prince Tameem highly respects King Abdullah, but sorry, we no longer have the money to hand out to Jordan’s foreign aid blackhole.”
7. A British source in Qatar confirmed with JaFaJ that Qatar’s former passionate support for Abdullah is no more. The source added, “The Qataris are no longer inclined to provide blind support for the Muslim Brotherhood and those who support them, and Abdullah has been the Muslim Brotherhood’s sweetheart for a long time, and that came with inflated Qatari respect, but no more because Qatar has changed many of her policies since it has reconciled with Saudi Arabia.”
Conclusion
————–
8. Arrogant, reckless and considerably unrealistic about his assumptions, Jordan’s King has always managed to get away with provoking his Arab allies as much as he can and failing to appreciate their help. Nonetheless, the tide has changed not just in the Middle East, but in the Gulf, especially with the normalization of ties between Saudi Arabia and Qatar and Saudi Arabia and Iran. Both changes have left King Abdulla unable to play his favourite game: playing both ends against the middle.
9. The recent normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran has impacted the King’s importance to both countries and the region. Very aligned with Iran, Abdullah has served as both a mediator and a message carrier between the Gulf and Iran, and he cannot claim this role now. Abdullah’s tightest alliance is with Muhammad Ben Zayed, the President of the United Arab Emirates and Qatar’s archenemy, who has occasionally been hostile to Saudi Arabia. Nonetheless, Ben Zayed is not known to be as generous with his aid as the Saudis, and by siding with him, Abdullah has made both the Saudis and Qataris weary of him.
10. With his government being cash strapped and on the verge of bankruptcy, Jordan’s King is unlikely to find any Arab ruler that will give him a blank check, as they did in 2018 when Arab Gulf states gave him USD 2.5 billion to tackle and eliminate the protests then sweeping Jordan. As Abdullah is expected to face further regional political isolation, his already disgruntled people are likely to become even more furious over his actions as Jordan’s economy is worsening by the day. As a result, further unrest and unprecedented protests are likely to hit the Hashemite Kingdom during the summer of 2023.

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